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01/30/09: Friday NCAAB and NBA picks

Game Line Pick Result
7:05 PM EST


851 washington wizards
wizards
852 philadelphia 76ers -10.5

WAS-C-Blatche-OUT, G-Stevenson-Probable




7:05 PM EST


853 milwaukee bucks


854 toronto raptors -7.5 raptors
NO OVERNIGHT LINE:MIL-C-Bogut-Questionable, G-Ridnour-Doubtful




7:05 PM EST


855 boston celtics -6

856 detroit pistons
pistons
ESPNGAME OFF BOARD:DET-G-Hamilton-Questionable




7:05 PM EST


857 miami heat
heat
858 indiana pacers -3

NO OVERNIGHT LINE:MIA-F-Marion-QuestionableIND-F-Granger-Questionable




7:35 PM EST


859 new jersey nets
nets
860 atlanta hawks -7.5





7:35 PM EST


861 los angeles clippers


862 cleveland cavaliers -16 cavs
CLE-C-Ilgauskas-Doubtful






8:05 PM EST


863 los angeles lakers -6.5


864 minnesota timberwolves
wolves
NO OVERNIGHT LINE:LAL-C-Bynum-Questionable (possible suspension), F-Ariza-QuestionableMIN-G-Telfair-Questionable




9:05 PM EST


865 oklahoma city
ok city
866 utah jazz -9

OKL CITY-G-Mason-OUT for seasonUTAH-F-Kirilenko-Doubtful




9:05 PM EST


867 charlotte bobcats


868 denver nuggets -10
nuggets
NO OVERNIGHT LINE:CHA-G-Wallace-OUTDEN-F-Anthony-Questionable




9:35 PM EST


869 golden state warriors
warriors
870 new orleans hornets -9.5

ESPNNO OVERNIGHT LINE:NO-F-West-Questionable




10:05 PM EST


871 chicago bulls -2

872 sacramento kings
kings
CHI-F-Gooden-Questionable






7:00 PM EST


873 princeton -1.5

874 dartmouth
dartmouth




7:00 PM EST


875 valparaiso
valpo
876 butler -17.5

ESPNU






7:00 PM EST


877 yale


878 columbia -2 columbia




7:00 PM EST


879 brown


880 cornell -14 cornell




7:00 PM EST


881 pennsylvania


882 harvard -6.5 harvard




7:30 PM EST


883 marist
marist
884 fairfield -6.5

ADDED GAMESFairfield-F-Nero-Questionable




9:00 PM EST


885 loyola maryland
loyola
886 rider -6.5

ESPNU


62 comments:

  1. Hey I noticed ur Marist pick...I saw this in a forum and was wondering if you can tell me if it's accurate thanks!! ....

    "I'll gladly take the 6 1/2 tonight with MARIST tonight against a make shift Fairfield team tonight thats wheels have come off. Three starters out tonight for Fairfield including top guy Sr. G Jonathan Han as well as Jr. F A.Johnson and So.F Warren Edney. They also have two others that are playing hurt. MARIST owns a very good ATS with Fairfield and come into game with much more offensively including 20 + from each of their top guys in last. Conference game and GREAT time for Marist and possible cover if they get a lead at half. "

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  2. hi good man.where is the star .you start some thing good. now you change/why.why do you let bad people get to you.please put the star back.

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  3. Razorhater:

    What is your outlook on the over 116.5 in the dart/prince game?

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  4. "Hey I noticed ur Marist pick...I saw this in a forum and was wondering if you can tell me if it's accurate thanks!! ...."

    It is accurate. Off the injury wire:

    [F] 01/30/2009 - Warren Edney is downgraded to expected to miss the rest of the season. ( Ankle )

    [G] 01/30/2009 - Greg Nero is upgraded to probable, but not 100% healthy Friday vs Marist. ( Back )

    [G] 01/30/2009 - Jonathan Han is out indefinitely. ( Suspension )

    [F] 01/30/2009 - Anthony Johnson is downgraded to expected to miss the rest of the season. ( Illness )

    [G] 01/29/2009 - Herbie Allen is probable, but not 100% healthy Friday vs Marist. ( Hand )
    [F] 01/26/2009 - Sean Grzek missed last game ? Friday vs Marist ( Mononucleosis )

    [C] 12/10/2008 - Brandon Davis quit the team, expected to transfer. ( Personal )

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  5. "hi good man.where is the star .you start some thing good. now you change/why.why do you let bad people get to you.please put the star back."

    I'm going to keep the stars off and see how it goes. I liked that yesterday there was a lot more discussion on the games without worrying about how I weighted them.

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  6. "What is your outlook on the over 116.5 in the dart/prince game?"

    Totals are not my forte, but here it goes.

    Two offense challenged teams that I think will have a hard time breaking 100 pts combined. Under.

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  7. Out of the games tonight which three teams do you 4-see covering?

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  8. or should I say which three teams are your heavy leans.

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  9. "Out of the games tonight which three teams do you 4-see covering?

    or should I say which three teams are your heavy leans."

    My 3 biggest plays today are cavs, marist, kings.

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  10. what is your outlook on over 208 in the lakers game?

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  11. Butler has been playing very good lately, dominating their conference. Why do you think they won't cover against valpo

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  12. Razor...

    I too think Clevland puts a whoop ass on LA tonight..

    But have to REALLY question your take on Detroit tonight...

    I am from Boston so may be biased...but they are ROLLING now and could argue that they are playing better then they were when they were on a 19-0 win streak...House is playing out of his tree...Perk is healthy...Big Baby is playing solid and contributing and Allen and Rondo got snubbed for allstar game.

    Detroit is not what they once were with Billups..Iverson is a disastor...and hamilton may be out. Celts are more physical and I see them beating dtwon by at leaast 10...

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  13. How strong are you on OK CITY...also aside from Clevland what do you feel is the strongest NBA play?

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  14. "what is your outlook on over 208 in the lakers game?"

    I like it. I think this number may be a bit deflated due to the two teams only combining for 184 pts back on 12/14. I like this game to go between 210 and 220 so over looks good.

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  15. "Butler has been playing very good lately, dominating their conference. Why do you think they won't cover against valpo"

    This was a very small lean towards valpo. I've been impressed with valpo's play of late(the last two games) with their win against wisc-milw and holding strong against a very talented wisc gb team. Butler beat valpo by 13 at valpo back on 01/03, so you're only getting a pickup of 4 1/2 points agaisnt that result playing at butler. That scares me a bit, but I hope that valpo is undervalued here and plays the way they have the last two. If they do that, they'll cover the number. But like I said it's a small lean so play it conservatively, if at all.

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  16. "But have to REALLY question your take on Detroit tonight..."

    This is also a small lean. I too looked at that line and said WTF!?! Strange thing is normally when I look at a line and say that, it means something is up and be very careful wagering on that game. I'm not sure what's going on with this line since line predictions have it set at -11 Boston. Therefore, I'm going with Detroit in the belief that there is something we don't know going on here. Trust me everyone and their mother is going to be playing this game hard on Boston. If you feel good about it then put some money down. I'm staying small on the Detroit side and watching what happens.

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  17. Hey how do you feel about Minn +7 against LAL tonight? I feel Minn has a good chance to win str8 up, but they cant have another collapse like they did against Minn. I was thinking about teasing to +12 along w/philly and the cavs tonight

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  18. "How strong are you on OK CITY...also aside from Clevland what do you feel is the strongest NBA play?"

    I'm just not a jazz believer yet and ok city is playing so damn well on the road against the number this season. At first glance, I was worried that ok city was a bit inflated because of this, but I feel the number still undervalues OK city. I'm leaning OK city for 2 units.

    I like the kings and cavs for 4-5 unit plays in the NBA.

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  19. to above post, i meant against detroit.

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  20. "Hey how do you feel about Minn +7 against LAL tonight? I feel Minn has a good chance to win str8 up, but they cant have another collapse like they did against Minn. I was thinking about teasing to +12 along w/philly and the cavs tonight"

    Minnesota has been very hot this month, but the books seem to still undervalue them. I would put this game around -3 or -4 for the lakers, so you're getting 3 pts for free (or -110). I played this game for 2 units.

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  21. "to above post, i meant against detroit."

    no worries. i figured that one out. I so smart.

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  22. can you talk some more about why you're leaning so heavily on the kings tonight. theyve been giving up 120 over their last 9 games and are 0-20 vs. the east this year.

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  23. do u like over 189 in the cavs game and over 197 in the hawks nets game?

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  24. In response to your Detroit play...there is nothing fishy here...Detroit is still in the public eyes considered a strong eastern conference contender, especially at home. To be getting 7 at home is allot...

    Even when the CELTICS were 22-2 they rarely gave up double digits on the rd to solid eastern conference foe's...

    No way Celtics lose to detroit tonight...not the way they are playing...trust me after ray and rondo getting snubbed...only boots the celts that much more tonight to play hard.

    Celts to the bank...

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  25. I like loyola tonight...do you see them keeping it close or winning this one out-right?

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  26. I'm taking the -6 for Celtics and over 181

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  27. http://thebetpicks.blogspot.com/


    for free bet picks

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  28. "can you talk some more about why you're leaning so heavily on the kings tonight. theyve been giving up 120 over their last 9 games and are 0-20 vs. the east this year."

    A few things here for why I like this game for the kings.

    The kings are coming off a long road trip back to the friendly confines of Arco. On the last two games of the trip, they played the celtics and the cavs and, although they lost, I felt they had a strong showing against cleveland and looked good against the celtics in spurts. The kings are coming home feeling pretty good. The last time coming home from a 4 game trip they played Miami to a 4 point decision and then beat Dallas. I won't mention what happened the next game against orlando, but it wasn't pretty.

    The bulls are playing the 3rd game of a 7 game road trip. They played Minnesota tough and buried the clippers by 20. I think they have been inflated due to these games. This is still a bulls team that is 6-17 on the road. Yes the kings are only 7-15 at home, but the crowd will be fired up tonight to welcome home their kings and the kings will put on a good show for them.

    Bottom line this is pretty much a battle of crap teams and with the home cooking at Arco, the kings pull this one out.

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  29. how do you like marist straight up?

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  30. are you still on tilt from yesterday?

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  31. "do u like over 189 in the cavs game and over 197 in the hawks nets game?"

    the cavs game I like the under. I don't think the cavs are going to give up to many to the Clippers tonight. The Clips are just starting an eastern swing and cleveland played last night against orlando so the play will be a little lethargic also leading to less scoring.

    hawks and nets I like the over. Their previous matchup on 01/02 they only combined for 184pts with OT, but if you look at their two previous meeting before this they blew out the number with 223 and 226 pts. The nets score well on the road avg around 99 pts and the hawks will get over 100 tonight against the nets defense.

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  32. "Celts to the bank..."

    We shall see. Good luck

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  33. "I like loyola tonight...do you see them keeping it close or winning this one out-right?"

    This is a small lean toward loyola. I wouldn't take this on the moneyline if that's what you're asking. loyola is hot right now and I'm just going to ride that streak for a small lean tonight, 2 units.

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  34. "I'm taking the -6 for Celtics and over 181"

    Good luck

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  35. "how do you like marist straight up?"

    I don't play the moneylines so I haven't looked at what value you'd be getting for taking them str8 up. If you caught the moneyline while they were still 6.5 pt dogs then maybe I see value, but now I'd just play the line.

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  36. "are you still on tilt from yesterday?"

    Nah...for some reason the tennis match calmed me. 5 hours and 15 mins of tennis was a bit much (with a nap in the middle), but verdasco making that kind of showing took the tilt away.

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  37. I took the same bet at +575. I think what hurt him was the first set when he missed the break on Nada server. Even if he won the set I believe that got into his mind a little bit but he played a great game.

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  38. which game would you bet big on?

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  39. "I took the same bet at +575. I think what hurt him was the first set when he missed the break on Nada server. Even if he won the set I believe that got into his mind a little bit but he played a great game."

    I was certainly pissed after he did that, but I think he shook that off. That was like 45 minutes into a 5 hour 15 min match. He just tired at the end. Those two double faults were so painful in the final game, but that was a classic match.

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  40. "which game would you bet big on?"

    My big plays as I stated earlier were on the cavs, marist, and kings. Those 3 are a toss up for me on which I like more so I can't help you with picking just one.

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  41. what does 1 unit represent?

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  42. "what does 1 unit represent?"

    That's really up for you to decide on how you want to do your bankroll management, for me it is 1% of the bankroll I am allocating for today.

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  43. marist big...... please pray for my daughter's sake.......

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  44. if 1 unit is 1%, then im 100 units on marist

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  45. "marist big...... please pray for my daughter's sake.......

    if 1 unit is 1%, then im 100 units on marist"

    LOL....I wish some of you anonymous people would sign up for an account. It'd be nice to be able to discern between you all. What line did you get Marist at?

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  46. are you making a living off gambling? or is this just a hobby?

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  47. "+5"

    Good luck on your daughter's new pair of shoes.

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  48. thx, its her tuition..

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  49. "are you making a living off gambling? or is this just a hobby?"

    I've been gambling since college. I've had my ups and downs like anyone, but no I certainly don't sports gamble for a living. Got a good job and do this on the side. Although sometimes this site does feel like a full time job.

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  50. "thx, its her tuition.."

    Ivy league, right?

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  51. "piano school"

    sweet. 5 or 10 bucks an hour?

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  52. do you like over 193.5 in the nuggets game tonight? melo comin back tonight

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  53. "do you like over 193.5 in the nuggets game tonight? melo comin back tonight"

    Lookin it over quick, I'd say over. This game will score similar to the lakers and bobcats game.

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  54. how do you like loyola straight up?

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  55. "how do you like loyola straight up?"

    I don't think i'd ever bet a road dog on the moneyline. A home dog i'd consider it, but I stray away from moneylines till baseball. Baseball......pitchers and catchers report Feb 14th. YES!!!!

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  56. i love moneylines and baseball

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  57. marist folding like a folder

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  58. anyone want to tell me why toronto has scored 32 points in the last 2.5 qtrs????? anyone? wtf.

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  59. 9-9 day. BLAH! I hit 2 outta my top 3 plays, but not happy with NBA tonight. Time to continue with tomorrow's card. Oh Saturday how I dread you.


    Notes of the Day:

    Raptors score 30 in the first then 29 total in the 2nd and 3rd. Someone explain that to me please.

    Igbavboa seems to be valpos whole team

    Somebody needs to tell Marist that their 8 pt lead is gone.

    The nice thing about the Ivy league is they are in and out fast. 1 hour 45 mins. Game DONE.

    It seems the bucks have figured out how to play without Redd. hmmmrph..

    WTF! are the cavs doing!!!! These are the clippers. This is not orlando. They are the clippers. Jesus

    Looks like the cavs forgot how to play defense 2nite

    columbia,columbia,columbia.....GAME ON!!!!

    valpo on 5-0 run. well if you can call 5-0 a run but they did it.

    nice start by valpo. 5 mins in and no points

    verdasco almost pulled it out.

    Thurs: 21-20-2

    Week(starting Mon): 75-54-2

    Games up late tonight

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